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Natural Gas Market Report
Each month, Gas South puts together a natural gas market report to help simplify the updates you need to know about what's happening in the natural gas industry for your business. These updates include NYMEX settlement prices, storage information and more.
December 2024 Market Report
A cold start to December drove the market upward as heaters kicked on across the country. Weāre paying attention to the seasonās impact on the ongoing storage glut, plus the potential shifts in policy and regulation that may come with the new presidential administration next month.
November 2024 Market Report
The NYMEX futures contract saw some downward pressure due to high storage levels and bearish weather forecasts. (Weather is the main driver of price movement and general market sentiment this time of year.) All in all, the future looks bright for the market, as projected demand is increasing at a clip not seen in over a century.
October 2024 Market Report
The futures contracts for October and November have risen steadily, mostly due to curtailed production, which echoes a pattern from earlier this year. We expect bullish price trends to continue if production picks up for the upcoming winter demand.
September 2024 Market Report
This is the second month in a row that the prompt month has settled below the $2.00/MMBtu mark due to milder weather forecasts, continued storage overhang, and relatively loose market fundamentals. Plus, the U.S. issued new sanctions against a Russian LNG project while it prepares to open its eighth major export facility.
August 2024 Market Report
August NYMEX futures contract settled below $2/MMBtu thanks to a one-two punch from increased production and the start of hurricane season impacting supply and demand. Plusāwe briefed on a complex and politically charged Supreme Court decision.
July 2024 Market Report
The market saw increased volatility throughout June, culminating in a rally due to suspicion of above-normal temperatures nationwide. Futures contracts finally settled at $2.628/MMBtu. Learn more about these trends, plusāthe implications of the Mountain Valley Pipeline service on index methodology.
June 2024 Market Report
This month saw an 80% increase from Mayās price settlement, a lift that was amplified by pipeline maintenance across the Midwest and southeastern U.S. The price resurgence has prompted a pick-up in production activities, which is timely for tech giants, whose AI arms race is prompting extravagant demand for electricity generation.
May 2024 Market Report
A sizable gas storage surplus has dampened any price volatility for May, put production cuts, power generation demand increased and a warm summer could catalyze a front-month rally.
April 2024 Market Report
This past month, NYMEX prices remained relatively stableāand it gets better. We saw the second-lowest prompt month settlement in a decade, driven by an eight-year high in storage surplus levels.
March 2024 Market Report
With a warm-weather outlook and storage levels above the five-year maximum, the summer strip sees the NYEMX trading below $2.60/MMBtu for every month until October.
February 2024 Market Report
Some wild winter weather has been reflected in the monthās pricing outlook, with a cold bout causing price swings that spanned nearly $10. But with milder weather approaching, weāre now looking to the White Houseās action on LNG exports to influence market trends.
December 2023 Market Report
Recent price dips are defying analyst expectations, due to mild weather and strong storage. But before we call it a trend, weāre keeping an eye on the dynamics in different regions and developments in transmission capacity agreements.
November 2023 Market Report
All eyes are on the weather, as total U.S. natural gas consumption has already risen over 16% due to increased demand. And prices are just as unpredictable as the temperature. Based on current market volatility, this winterās futures are rangebound between $1.68-$6.89.
October 2023 Market Report
Forwards have been trending upwardāin fact, we have not seen natural gas prices this high since last January. This volatility is due to a variety of domestic and global factors, as well as reports forecasting a significant consumption increase and demand for exports.
September 2023 Market Report
With a seasonal shift upon us, weāre seeing both record-breaking consumption levels due to late summer heat and dramatic price swings as the market prepares for cold-weather demand. Furthermore, recent events support natural gasās significant role in the energy transition and increased demand in the coming years.
August 2023 Market Report
NYMEX forwards have stabilized, and the fundamentals inform a steady price sentiment in the near term. However, weāre noticing an unusual spread across the Southeast locational basis this summer, which may make hedging in these areas more commonplace.
May 2023 Market Report
Near-term NYMEX prices have retreated toward historic lows, down nearly 80% from last summerās peak. Our trade desk is seeing bearish fundamentals in the market: Production and storage levels are both exceptionally high, and mild spring temperatures have held both demand and capacity constraints in check.
March 2023 Market Report
Bearish fundamentals like warm weather and strong storage inventory continue to weigh heavily on prices. Prompt month prices have declined 75% from late August until now, briefly dipping below $2/MMBtu on February 22.
February 2023 Market Report
The NYMEX prompt month contract is trading at levels we havenāt seen since mid-2020. Warm temperatures are leading an array of bearish fundamentalsāso much for the groundhogās prediction for a long winter this year!
January 2023 Market Report
Market fundamentals have pivoted and are now overwhelmingly bearish, with the lowest prices in months. Storage inventories have increased, although capacity is increasingly constrained along the east coast, and an increasing demand for LNG exports is likely to create more price support.